The New England Patriots didn’t lose Sunday night solely because of a final offensive goal-line series in which they gained just 1 yard on four plays, but they trailed the Seattle Seahawks by seven points late in the fourth quarter, and the game fittingly came down to a pass from the 1-yard line.
Let’s go through that final offensive series, when the Patriots failed to convert.
The Patriots got to the 2-yard line on deep passes from Tom Brady to Julian Edelman (30 yards) and Rob Gronkowski (26 yards). On first and goal with 43 seconds remaining, the Patriots ran a quarterback keeper with Brady in which they admittedly intended not to score.
Brady previously had converted on two short-yardage situations earlier in the game, first by picking up 1 yard on a third and 1 and then by picking up 3 yards on a second and 1.
Brady, on the same page as center David Andrews (this will come into play later), barreled forward for 1 yard to the 1-yard line.
Brady handed off to running back LeGarrette Blount on second down. Blount jumped over the Seahawks’ line and got extremely close to the goal line but failed to reach the ball over. Reaching over would have been a risky move, but if he had got the ball over, it would have been worth the gamble.
This was the only time the Patriots would hand off to Blount on the four-play offensive series. The Patriots previously had converted in short yardage situations with Blount on second and 3, first and goal at the 1, against on first and goal at the 1 and at second and 1.
The Patriots lost a yard on third and 1. Brady and Andrews weren’t on the same page this time as Andrews went straight and Brady went to the left. They muffed the snap, and Brady had to scramble to recover the fumble. Had Brady and Andrews been on the same page, there’s a good chance the Patriots would have converted for the score.
The Patriots got back to the 1-yard line when the Seahawks were flagged for having 12 men on the field. The Patriots looked ready to throw on fourth and goal at the 2-yard line in a shotgun formation before the penalty.
Brady went back under center on fourth and goal from the 1 and saw Gronkowski matched up 1-on-1 with safety Kam Chancellor to his left.
Throwing to Gronkowski could produce one of three results. Ideally, Brady would hit Gronkowski for the touchdown. If that didn’t happen, Gronkowski could draw a flag, and the Patriots would have a new set of downs to try to score with 14 seconds remaining. The third result was an incomplete pass.
Gronkowski initiated contact with Chancellor off the line, fell, and Brady’s pass sailed incomplete. Game over.
And it was a fine no-call from the officials. It was a physical play, and both Gronkowski and Chancellor could have been called for interference. The best option was to hold the flag altogether.
It’s easy to criticize the Patriots for the four-play series because they didn’t score and wound up losing to the Seahawks.
The easiest criticism comes on the first play, when Brady clearly wasn’t in a hurry to score. The Patriots showed overconfidence in their offense to score on second, third or fourth down, and a complete lack of trust in their defense to subsequently stop the Seahawks from getting into field goal range in just 43 seconds.
It’s also easy to criticize the Patriots for only handing off to Blount once. He already had scored twice from the 1-yard line, and it seems unlikely the Seahawks would have stopped him twice from the 1-yard line to finish the game.
The Patriots also relied a bit too heavily on Brady’s quarterback keepers, and the miscommunication between him and Andrews was both uncommon and costly.
Finally, throwing a fade on fourth and goal is a risky play. A fade pass is fairly low percentage, but chucking it to Gronkowski, especially when he can draw a flag, makes it a bit safer.
Fortunately for the Patriots, this happened in a Week 10 regular season game rather than the Super Bowl (sorry, Seahawks). There’s still reason to regret how those four players transpired.
Here are other notes from our film review.
— The Patriots’ defense had comparable lack of success in both zone and man coverage.
The Patriots allowed Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson to go 12 of 17 for 147 yards with a touchdown in zone coverage. The Patriots also had a sack, defensive pass interference and offsides penalties while allowing a 6-yard scramble for 158 net yards.
Wilson went 13 of 20 for 201 yards with two touchdowns in man coverage. The Patriots also had two sacks, a defensive pass interference penalty and forced intentional grounding for 194 net yards.
Patriots fans have complained about the Patriots’ uptick in zone coveage. Sunday night it didn’t matter what they called.
— The Patriots missed Jamie Collins in their first game since he went to the Cleveland Browns via trade. His fill-in, sixth-round pick Elandon Roberts, was average in run defense, got torched on a 38-yard deep ball to C.J. Prosise and failed to follow the running back out of the backfield on another 10-yard catch. The Patriots allowed too many big chunks of yardadge in the ground game early to Prosise.
— The Patriots showed a lack of communication on two key catches — a 39-yarder by Paul Richardson and an 18-yard touchdown catch by Doug Baldwin. Both times the Patriots were in zone, and cornerback Logan Ryan tried to pass off both players to no avail. The Patriots were in Cover-3 on Richardson’s catch, and the Seahawks showed play action, which delayed New England’s linebackers from dropping into coverage. Ryan followed Richardson too far into the middle of the field, and both he and safety Duron Harmon couldn’t change direction quickly enough after the catch, allowing the Seahawks wideout to pick up 18 yards after the catch.
Ryan passed off Baldwin to safety Patrick Chung, who appared to be looking into the backfield at Wilson and didn’t see Baldwin.
— Ryan, Chung and cornerbacks Malcolm Butler and Justin Coleman struggled in coverage. It’s also important to give props to Wilson and Seattle’s offense. They were fantastic.
— Rookie guard Joe Thuney had a solid game as a run and pass blocker.
— Check out the Patriots’ pass rush, coverage, protection and accuracy stats.
Thumbnail photo via Greg M. Cooper/USA TODAY Sports Images